diff --git a/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherBackupAgent.java b/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherBackupAgent.java
index 2617b93..a96495d 100644
--- a/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherBackupAgent.java
+++ b/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherBackupAgent.java
@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
 package com.android.launcher3;
 
+import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherPrefs.NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED;
+
 import android.app.backup.BackupAgent;
 import android.app.backup.BackupDataInput;
 import android.app.backup.BackupDataOutput;
@@ -10,10 +12,13 @@
 
 import java.io.File;
 import java.io.IOException;
+import java.util.Arrays;
+import java.util.stream.Collectors;
 
 public class LauncherBackupAgent extends BackupAgent {
-
     private static final String TAG = "LauncherBackupAgent";
+    private static final String DB_FILE_PREFIX = "launcher";
+    private static final String DB_FILE_SUFFIX = ".db";
 
     @Override
     public void onCreate() {
@@ -47,7 +52,34 @@
 
     @Override
     public void onRestoreFinished() {
-        FileLog.d(TAG, "onRestoreFinished: set pending for RestoreDbTask");
         RestoreDbTask.setPending(this);
+        FileLog.d(TAG, "onRestoreFinished: set pending for RestoreDbTask");
+        markIfFilesWereNotActuallyRestored();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * When restore is finished, we check to see if any db files were successfully restored. If not,
+     * our restore will fail later, but will report a different cause. This is important to split
+     * out the metric failures that are launcher's fault, and those that are due to bugs in the
+     * backup/restore code itself.
+     */
+    private void markIfFilesWereNotActuallyRestored() {
+        File directory = new File(getDatabasePath(InvariantDeviceProfile.INSTANCE.get(this).dbFile)
+                .getParent());
+        if (!directory.exists()) {
+            FileLog.e(TAG, "restore failed as target database directory doesn't exist");
+        } else {
+            // Check for any db file that was restored, and collect as list
+            String fileNames = Arrays.stream(directory.listFiles())
+                    .map(File::getName)
+                    .filter(n -> n.startsWith(DB_FILE_PREFIX) && n.endsWith(DB_FILE_SUFFIX))
+                    .collect(Collectors.joining(", "));
+            if (fileNames.isBlank()) {
+                FileLog.e(TAG, "no database files were successfully restored");
+                LauncherPrefs.get(this).putSync(NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED.to(true));
+            } else {
+                FileLog.d(TAG, "database files successfully restored: " + fileNames);
+            }
+        }
     }
 }
diff --git a/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherPrefs.kt b/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherPrefs.kt
index 7ebfc18..5c03644 100644
--- a/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherPrefs.kt
+++ b/src/com/android/launcher3/LauncherPrefs.kt
@@ -126,6 +126,9 @@
                 EncryptionType.ENCRYPTED,
             )
         @JvmField
+        val NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED =
+            nonRestorableItem("no_db_files_restored", false, EncryptionType.DEVICE_PROTECTED)
+        @JvmField
         val IS_FIRST_LOAD_AFTER_RESTORE =
             nonRestorableItem(FIRST_LOAD_AFTER_RESTORE_KEY, false, EncryptionType.ENCRYPTED)
         @JvmField val APP_WIDGET_IDS = backedUpItem(RestoreDbTask.APPWIDGET_IDS, "")
diff --git a/src/com/android/launcher3/backuprestore/LauncherRestoreEventLogger.kt b/src/com/android/launcher3/backuprestore/LauncherRestoreEventLogger.kt
index e6654b1..b05539a 100644
--- a/src/com/android/launcher3/backuprestore/LauncherRestoreEventLogger.kt
+++ b/src/com/android/launcher3/backuprestore/LauncherRestoreEventLogger.kt
@@ -24,9 +24,10 @@
         RestoreError.WIDGETS_DISABLED,
         RestoreError.PROFILE_NOT_RESTORED,
         RestoreError.WIDGET_REMOVED,
+        RestoreError.DATABASE_FILE_NOT_RESTORED,
         RestoreError.GRID_MIGRATION_FAILURE,
         RestoreError.NO_SEARCH_WIDGET,
-        RestoreError.INVALID_WIDGET_ID
+        RestoreError.INVALID_WIDGET_ID,
     )
     annotation class RestoreError {
         companion object {
@@ -38,6 +39,7 @@
             const val APP_NOT_INSTALLED = "app_not_installed"
             const val WIDGETS_DISABLED = "widgets_disabled"
             const val PROFILE_NOT_RESTORED = "profile_not_restored"
+            const val DATABASE_FILE_NOT_RESTORED = "db_file_not_restored"
             const val WIDGET_REMOVED = "widget_not_found"
             const val GRID_MIGRATION_FAILURE = "grid_migration_failed"
             const val NO_SEARCH_WIDGET = "no_search_widget"
@@ -52,7 +54,7 @@
             return ResourceBasedOverride.Overrides.getObject(
                 LauncherRestoreEventLogger::class.java,
                 context,
-                R.string.launcher_restore_event_logger_class
+                R.string.launcher_restore_event_logger_class,
             )
         }
     }
@@ -117,7 +119,7 @@
     open fun logFavoritesItemsRestoreFailed(
         favoritesId: Int,
         count: Int,
-        @RestoreError error: String?
+        @RestoreError error: String?,
     ) {
         // no-op
     }
diff --git a/src/com/android/launcher3/model/ModelDbController.java b/src/com/android/launcher3/model/ModelDbController.java
index 5d66d16..787aef4 100644
--- a/src/com/android/launcher3/model/ModelDbController.java
+++ b/src/com/android/launcher3/model/ModelDbController.java
@@ -20,15 +20,16 @@
 import static android.util.Base64.NO_WRAP;
 
 import static com.android.launcher3.DefaultLayoutParser.RES_PARTNER_DEFAULT_LAYOUT;
+import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherPrefs.NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Favorites.CONTAINER;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Favorites.ITEM_TYPE;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Favorites.ITEM_TYPE_APP_PAIR;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Favorites.TABLE_NAME;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Favorites.addTableToDb;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Settings.BLOB_KEY_PREFIX;
-import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Settings.LAYOUT_PROVIDER_KEY;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Settings.LAYOUT_DIGEST_LABEL;
 import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Settings.LAYOUT_DIGEST_TAG;
+import static com.android.launcher3.LauncherSettings.Settings.LAYOUT_PROVIDER_KEY;
 import static com.android.launcher3.provider.LauncherDbUtils.tableExists;
 
 import android.app.blob.BlobHandle;
@@ -97,6 +98,7 @@
 
     private static final String EMPTY_DATABASE_CREATED = "EMPTY_DATABASE_CREATED";
     public static final String EXTRA_DB_NAME = "db_name";
+    public static final String DATA_TYPE_DB_FILE = "database_file";
 
     protected DatabaseHelper mOpenHelper;
 
@@ -295,7 +297,15 @@
 
         if (!migrateGridIfNeeded()) {
             if (restoreEventLogger != null) {
-                sendMetricsForFailedMigration(restoreEventLogger, getDb());
+                if (LauncherPrefs.get(mContext).get(NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED)) {
+                    restoreEventLogger.logLauncherItemsRestoreFailed(DATA_TYPE_DB_FILE, 1,
+                            RestoreError.DATABASE_FILE_NOT_RESTORED);
+                    LauncherPrefs.get(mContext).put(NO_DB_FILES_RESTORED, false);
+                    FileLog.d(TAG, "There is no data to migrate: resetting launcher database");
+                } else {
+                    restoreEventLogger.logLauncherItemsRestored(DATA_TYPE_DB_FILE, 1);
+                    sendMetricsForFailedMigration(restoreEventLogger, getDb());
+                }
             }
             FileLog.d(TAG, "Migration failed: resetting launcher database");
             createEmptyDB();
@@ -304,6 +314,8 @@
 
             // Write the grid state to avoid another migration
             new DeviceGridState(LauncherAppState.getIDP(mContext)).writeToPrefs(mContext);
+        } else if (restoreEventLogger != null) {
+            restoreEventLogger.logLauncherItemsRestored(DATA_TYPE_DB_FILE, 1);
         }
     }
 
@@ -317,17 +329,17 @@
         createDbIfNotExists();
         if (LauncherPrefs.get(mContext).get(getEmptyDbCreatedKey())) {
             // If we have already create a new DB, ignore migration
-            Log.d(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: new DB already created, skipping migration");
+            FileLog.d(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: new DB already created, skipping migration");
             return false;
         }
         InvariantDeviceProfile idp = LauncherAppState.getIDP(mContext);
         if (!GridSizeMigrationUtil.needsToMigrate(mContext, idp)) {
-            Log.d(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: no grid migration needed");
+            FileLog.d(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: no grid migration needed");
             return true;
         }
         String targetDbName = new DeviceGridState(idp).getDbFile();
         if (TextUtils.equals(targetDbName, mOpenHelper.getDatabaseName())) {
-            Log.e(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: target db is same as current: " + targetDbName);
+            FileLog.e(TAG, "migrateGridIfNeeded: target db is same as current: " + targetDbName);
             return false;
         }
         DatabaseHelper oldHelper = mOpenHelper;