diff --git a/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/Timer.cpp b/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/Timer.cpp
index 2394ed2..fb4f315 100644
--- a/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/Timer.cpp
+++ b/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/Timer.cpp
@@ -85,7 +85,7 @@
     };
 
     if (timerfd_settime(mTimerFd, 0, &new_timer, &old_timer)) {
-        ALOGW("Failed to set timerfd");
+        ALOGW("Failed to set timerfd %s (%i)", strerror(errno), errno);
     }
 }
 
diff --git a/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/VSyncPredictor.cpp b/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/VSyncPredictor.cpp
index 3894992..3b99a58 100644
--- a/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/VSyncPredictor.cpp
+++ b/services/surfaceflinger/Scheduler/VSyncPredictor.cpp
@@ -23,6 +23,7 @@
 #include <utils/Trace.h>
 #include <algorithm>
 #include <chrono>
+#include <sstream>
 #include "SchedulerUtils.h"
 
 namespace android::scheduler {
@@ -153,12 +154,24 @@
     }
 
     auto const oldest = *std::min_element(timestamps.begin(), timestamps.end());
-    auto const ordinalRequest = (timePoint - oldest + slope) / slope;
+
+    // See b/145667109, the ordinal calculation must take into account the intercept.
+    auto const zeroPoint = oldest + intercept;
+    auto const ordinalRequest = (timePoint - zeroPoint + slope) / slope;
     auto const prediction = (ordinalRequest * slope) + intercept + oldest;
 
-    ALOGV("prediction made from: %" PRId64 " prediction: %" PRId64 " (+%" PRId64 ") slope: %" PRId64
-          " intercept: %" PRId64,
-          timePoint, prediction, prediction - timePoint, slope, intercept);
+    auto const printer = [&, slope = slope, intercept = intercept] {
+        std::stringstream str;
+        str << "prediction made from: " << timePoint << "prediction: " << prediction << " (+"
+            << prediction - timePoint << ") slope: " << slope << " intercept: " << intercept
+            << "oldestTS: " << oldest << " ordinal: " << ordinalRequest;
+        return str.str();
+    };
+
+    ALOGV("%s", printer().c_str());
+    LOG_ALWAYS_FATAL_IF(prediction < timePoint, "VSyncPredictor: model miscalculation: %s",
+                        printer().c_str());
+
     return prediction;
 }
 
diff --git a/services/surfaceflinger/tests/unittests/VSyncPredictorTest.cpp b/services/surfaceflinger/tests/unittests/VSyncPredictorTest.cpp
index d0c8090..4cb6a38 100644
--- a/services/surfaceflinger/tests/unittests/VSyncPredictorTest.cpp
+++ b/services/surfaceflinger/tests/unittests/VSyncPredictorTest.cpp
@@ -319,4 +319,36 @@
     }
 }
 
+// See b/145667109, and comment in prod code under test.
+TEST_F(VSyncPredictorTest, doesNotPredictBeforeTimePointWithHigherIntercept) {
+    std::vector<nsecs_t> const simulatedVsyncs{
+            158929578733000,
+            158929306806205, // oldest TS in ringbuffer
+            158929650879052,
+            158929661969209,
+            158929684198847,
+            158929695268171,
+            158929706370359,
+    };
+    auto const idealPeriod = 11111111;
+    auto const expectedPeriod = 11113500;
+    auto const expectedIntercept = -395335;
+
+    tracker.setPeriod(idealPeriod);
+    for (auto const& timestamp : simulatedVsyncs) {
+        tracker.addVsyncTimestamp(timestamp);
+    }
+
+    auto [slope, intercept] = tracker.getVSyncPredictionModel();
+    EXPECT_THAT(slope, IsCloseTo(expectedPeriod, mMaxRoundingError));
+    EXPECT_THAT(intercept, IsCloseTo(expectedIntercept, mMaxRoundingError));
+
+    // (timePoint - oldestTS) % expectedPeriod works out to be: 395334
+    // (timePoint - oldestTS) / expectedPeriod works out to be: 38.96
+    // so failure to account for the offset will floor the ordinal to 38, which was in the past.
+    auto const timePoint = 158929728723871;
+    auto const prediction = tracker.nextAnticipatedVSyncTimeFrom(timePoint);
+    EXPECT_THAT(prediction, Ge(timePoint));
+}
+
 } // namespace android::scheduler